StatSheet Projects Baylor as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 11 Seed: 02/14/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 14th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Baylor as an NCAA Tournament bubble team with a possible 11 seed. The Bears are sitting at #55 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-8 overall record and a 7-4 record in the Big 12.

Over the last four games, Baylor registered wins against West Virginia and Texas Tech but also hit a setback with losses to AP #17 Oklahoma State and RPI #38 Iowa State.

Baylor is weak against top competition, with a 6-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-6 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 2-3 record against AP ranked teams. While the Bears have two quality wins including AP #17 Oklahoma State and AP #25 Kentucky, they're also dinged with a bad loss to RPI #136 College of Charleston.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Stanford (15-9, 6-5 Pac 12, StatRank #55), Virginia (18-6, 8-3 ACC, StatRank #81), California (14-9, 6-5 Pac 12, StatRank #59), and Creighton (20-6, 9-5 Missouri Valley, StatRank #50).

The first four teams out are Arizona State (18-7, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #80), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2 C-USA, StatRank #45), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Saint Mary's (21-4, 10-1 West Coast, StatRank #49), Temple (16-7, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #39), and Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #68).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Florida
#3Arizona
#4Butler
#5Marquette
#6Kentucky
#7Colorado
#8Cincinnati
#9Iowa State
#10Belmont
#11Alabama
#12California
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Gonzaga
#3Kansas
#4Georgetown
#5Notre Dame
#6Minnesota
#7Memphis
#8Colorado State
#9UNLV
#10La Salle
#11Baylor
#12Creighton
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Harvard
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Kansas State
#4Ohio State
#5Oklahoma State
#6New Mexico
#7NC State
#8Illinois
#9North Carolina
#10Ole Miss
#11MTSU
#12Virginia
#13Stanford
#14Stony Brook
#15Long Beach State
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Louisville
#4Pittsburgh
#5Wisconsin
#6Oregon
#7Oklahoma
#8Missouri
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12Wichita State
#13VCU
#14Valparaiso
#15Montana
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC5 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
MAC1 128.3%
SoCon1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Patriot1 812.5%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
C-USA1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: Baylor should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big 12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Kansas 25-10 14-4
2 Oklahoma 23-10 12-6
3 Iowa State 28-8 11-7
3 Texas 24-11 11-7
5 Kansas State 20-13 10-8
 6Baylor 26-12 9-9
6 West Virginia 17-16 9-9
8 Oklahoma State 21-13 8-10
9 Texas Tech 14-18 6-12
10 TCU 9-22 0-18
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#21 Isaiah Austin So C 7-1 225
#1 Kenny Chery Jr G 5-11 180
#55 Josh Clemons Jr C 6-8 230
#4 Gary Franklin Sr G 6-2 190
#25 Allerik Freeman Fr G 6-3 200
#2 Rico Gathers So F 6-8 270
#13 John Heard So F 6-5 200
#5 Brady Heslip Sr G 6-2 180
#34 Cory Jefferson Sr F 6-9 220
#20 Logan Lowery Jr F 6-6 190
#12 J. Motley Fr F 6-9 210
#00 Royce O`Neale Jr F 6-6 220
#35 Taurean Prince So F 6-7 210
#15 Chad Rykhoek Fr F/C 6-11 230
#24 Ish Wainright Fr G/F 6-5 245