StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects Baylor as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, but on the outside looking in. The Bears are #75 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-13 overall record and an 8-9 record in the Big 12.
During its last four games, Baylor registered a win against West Virginia but also hit a setback with losses to AP #9 Kansas State and RPI #22 Oklahoma and a bad loss to RPI #123 Texas.
Baylor struggles against strong competition, with a 4-10 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-8 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Bears have a single quality win against AP #13 Oklahoma State, they're also weighed down by three bad losses including RPI #123 Texas, RPI #135 Northwestern, and RPI #154 College of Charleston.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are St. John's (16-12, 8-8 Big East, StatRank #63), Southern Miss (22-7, 11-3 Conference USA, StatRank #37), Alabama (19-10, 11-5 SEC, StatRank #58), and Saint Mary's (26-5, 14-2 West Coast, StatRank #39).
The first four teams out are Baylor (17-13, 8-9 Big 12, StatRank #75), La Salle (20-7, 10-4 A-10, StatRank #48), Temple (21-8, 9-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and Virginia (20-9, 10-6 ACC, StatRank #57).
The next four out are Arkansas (18-11, 9-7 SEC, StatRank #71), California (20-9, 12-5 Pac-12, StatRank #41), Maryland (20-9, 8-8 ACC, StatRank #69), and Wichita State (24-7, 12-6 Missouri Valley, StatRank #42).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference