StatSheet Projects Baylor as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/24/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 24th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Baylor as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Bears are sitting at #70 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-11 overall record and a 7-7 record in the Big 12.

Over the last four games, Baylor picked up a win against West Virginia but also struggled mightily with losses to RPI #19 Oklahoma and RPI #51 Iowa State.

Baylor is weak against top competition, with a 5-9 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-7 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-4 record against AP ranked teams. While the Bears have two quality wins including AP #14 Oklahoma State and RPI #50 Kentucky, they're also dinged by two bad losses including RPI #120 Northwestern and RPI #154 College of Charleston.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Saint Mary's (24-5, 12-2 West Coast, StatRank #41), Tennessee (16-10, 8-6 SEC, StatRank #60), St. John's (16-10, 8-6 Big East, StatRank #56), and Ole Miss (20-7, 9-5 SEC, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Alabama (18-9, 10-4 SEC, StatRank #62), Baylor (16-11, 7-7 Big 12, StatRank #70), Boise State (18-8, 6-6 Mountain West, StatRank #51), and Florida State (14-12, 6-7 ACC, StatRank #81).

The next four out are Arkansas (17-10, 8-6 SEC, StatRank #74), Maryland (19-8, 7-7 ACC, StatRank #68), Stanford (16-12, 7-8 Pac 12, StatRank #66), and Temple (18-8, 7-5 A-10, StatRank #49).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Gonzaga
#3Arizona
#4Kansas State
#5New Mexico
#6UNLV
#7Butler
#8Colorado State
#9Belmont
#10Cincinnati
#11Iowa State
#12La Salle
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Ohio State
#6North Carolina
#7Colorado
#8Illinois
#9California
#10Kentucky
#11Saint Louis
#12MTSU
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Harvard
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Louisville
#4Minnesota
#5Oklahoma
#6NC State
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11Southern Miss
#12Ole Miss
#13Saint Mary's
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15SDSU
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Syracuse
#4Oklahoma State
#5Wisconsin
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oregon
#8Missouri
#9VCU
#10Wichita State
#11Villanova
#12St. John's
#13Tennessee
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 125 1050.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Pac 125 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-104 1428.6%
ACC4 1233.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Big West1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Patriot1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: Baylor should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big 12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Kansas 25-10 14-4
2 Oklahoma 23-10 12-6
3 Iowa State 28-8 11-7
3 Texas 24-11 11-7
5 Kansas State 20-13 10-8
 6Baylor 26-12 9-9
6 West Virginia 17-16 9-9
8 Oklahoma State 21-13 8-10
9 Texas Tech 14-18 6-12
10 TCU 9-22 0-18
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#21 Isaiah Austin So C 7-1 225
#1 Kenny Chery Jr G 5-11 180
#55 Josh Clemons Jr C 6-8 230
#4 Gary Franklin Sr G 6-2 190
#25 Allerik Freeman Fr G 6-3 200
#2 Rico Gathers So F 6-8 270
#13 John Heard So F 6-5 200
#5 Brady Heslip Sr G 6-2 180
#34 Cory Jefferson Sr F 6-9 220
#20 Logan Lowery Jr F 6-6 190
#12 J. Motley Fr F 6-9 210
#00 Royce O`Neale Jr F 6-6 220
#35 Taurean Prince So F 6-7 210
#15 Chad Rykhoek Fr F/C 6-11 230
#24 Ish Wainright Fr G/F 6-5 245